Collaborative Research: Tropical Cyclone Tracks in Present and Future Climates
DESCRIPTION: The project will start by examining tropical cyclone tracks in global and regional climate models. The same analysis will be applied to potential future changes in climate. The second approach will be to use statistical-dynamic synthetic cyclone generators to model cyclone tracks. These two models will be compared.
OUTCOMES: The model had large biases compared to observations but improved when downscaled. The return rate on a Hurricane Sandy type storm is 714 years. There are more tropical cyclone landfalls when ST is higher.