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Earth Institute Research Projects

U.S. National Multi-Model Ensemble ISI Prediction System

Lead PI: Dr. Michael K. Tippett , Mr. Anthony G. Barnston

Unit Affiliation: International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI)

August 2012 - November 2012
Inactive
Global
Project Type: Research

DESCRIPTION: The project will collaboratively work to produce a multimodel ensemble prediction system to improve operational forecast skill an intraseasonal to interannual time scales and provide real-time forecast and research data.

OUTCOMES: So far the team has: performed deterministic and probabilistic skill verification of NMME seasonal forecasts. It turns out that the NMME is more accurate than other models.

SPONSOR:

National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration/Department of Commerce

RESEARCH TEAM:

Anthony Rosati, Kathy Pegion, Siegfried Schubert, Michele Reinecker, Max Suarez, Huug van den Dool, Malaquias Pena Mendez, Jin Huang, Scott Weaver, Joe Tribbia, Eric Wood

EXTERNAL COLLABORATORS:

University of Miami; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; National Centers for Environmental Prediction; National Center for Atmospheric Research

KEYWORDS

forecast multi-model models climate and society climate prediction el nino southern oscillation (enso)

THEMES

Modeling and Adapting to Future Climate